Top set - does life get any better? You decide to bet a little bit, make it look like you're trying to steal it. The button takes the bait and pushes all in. You can't wait to call and only hope he doesn't have some really crazy good draws like the T♥9♥. The cards turn over and you see he's almost drawing dead with the J8 (top two pair). Then comes the turn:
An 8 on the turn - gives you both a full house but the Jacks full is a much better hand. This card is inconsequential to you at the moment - it would take an absolute miracle for the board to come runner runner....
The unthinkable - runner runner quads to take nearly all of your chips. The odds of a suckout of this magnitude are almost exactly 1/10th of 1 percent, or about 1 in 1000. Imagine it - your odds of betting your money on a single number in Roulette and winning are almost 28 times greater than suriviving this hand with J8.
And finally, as if this wasn't enough to make this poor guy kill himself, the results of the tournament:
The guy who flopped a set of jacks busts 9th for around $10,000. The guy who hit the 1000:1 shot with J8 ends up winning the tournament and taking home almost $150,000.
Next time Manny sucks out a rivered two pair to take $20 from you, remember that things in Hold'em can get much, much worse.
1 comment:
You live by the cards, you die by the card. This is the path everyone has decided to take. Is luck part of the game???? Yes it is Olsen. So take off your dumb ass t-shirt, Jump off the "Brat" band wagon and quit talking about how good you are. I know it's early but I'm talkin shit from here on out. I've been playing too tight and haven't seen anyone on tilt yet. (Except Chris Brown, but come on.....) I have a message to everyone who plays me........... I will suck out your 20!!!
Viva Mexico Cinco De mayo party at Dan's place.
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